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Nontasak Janchum

Prototyping a Decision Support System for Natural Rubber Production in Thailand: Modelling Price Forecasting Mechanisms for Natural Rubber Products.

 

Nationality: Thai

Year of entry: 2010

Status: Full Time

Research area: Information Modelling

Research group: Information Management Innovation (IMI)

Research topic: Prototyping a Decision Support System for Natural Rubber Production in Thailand: Modelling Price Forecasting Mechanisms for Natural Rubber Products.

Research supervisors: Professor David Wainwright; Philip Oliver; Dr Andrew Robson

Background and Experience:

2006-2008 MSc. in Computer Science, Faculty of Engineering, Chulalongkorn University. Thailand.
2005-2006 Grad.Dip. in Teaching Graduate School, Srinakharinwirot University, Thailand.
2001-2005 BSc. in Mathematics (Hons), Faculty of Science, Prince of Songkla University, Thailand.

Research description:

My research interest is about decision support systems, focusing on the natural rubber market in Thailand. Since natural rubber prices have increasingly fluctuated for decades, stakeholders: farmers, co-operative managers, intermediaries, exporters, consumers and governments, are confronted with the difficulties of managing natural rubber products. My research aims to introduce a decision support and business intelligence systems to help the stakeholders to resolve the problems.

Data will be collected from a range of sources such as government statistics and commercial information.

Data analysis will be utilised statistical and advanced forecasting modelling mechanisms such as autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and artificial neural networks (ANNs).